By Martin Eze
IN 1991, the administration
of Major General Ibrahim .B. Babangida created additional states
including Abia State, God's Own State. Administrators were appointed to
run the state's affairs until 1993 when Dr. Ogbonnaya Onuh became the
first democratically elected Governor of the state. He couldn't complete
his term because of ministry intervention.
Abia State is divided into three electoral political zones, Abia
North, Abia Central and Abia South. Since the creation of the state
nobody from Abia South has ever Governed the state either as an
administrator or as Executive Governor. In 1999, the north through Dr.
Orji Uzo Kalu governed from 1999 - 2007 and Chief T.A. Orji from Abia
Central took over, but by May 29, 2015 his administration comes to an
end and a successor must emerge. The question is from which zone? That
is the issue of the moment. Zoning, though not written in our
constitution is one of the major factors that will influence the
electorate come April11, 2015.
When it was time for aspirants to emerge,a man from Abia South, Dr.
Okezie Victor Ikpeazu indicated interest on the platform of People
Democratic Party, PDP. After a well conducted and contested primary with
other aspirants from all the zones in the state, Victor emerged, a
first stage in the race of Government House. As we enter the next phase
which is the general election were other political parties will present
their candidates, surely the issue of zoning will likely play a major
role in the voting of the electorate.
It is unlikely that Abians will vote for a candidate from the same
zone with the present Governor Chief T.A. Orji, that equally extends to
any candidate from Abia North.
Although, Abia State is largely a people democratic party state but
there are some other parties with some presence such as the PPA which is
a poster & billboard party. In All Progressives Grand Alliance,
APGA, with less than forty days to general election, the electorate is
not sure who the governorship candidate is. Some people say it's Alex
Oti while others mention the name of another candidate. If it's Alex
Oti, where is he from, is he from Arochukwu (Abia North) or from
Aro-Ngwa (Abia Central). Some say he was born in Arochukwu but grew up
in Ngwa while others claim he was born in Ngwa but grew up in Arochukwu,
with this ambiguity, either way, he is certainly not favoured by the
zoning permutation.
Secondly, the performance of the present administration which is a
PDP government should have some bargaining chip for its candidate. Many
are of the view that with Chief T.A. Orji, who also doubles as Chairman
of the Eastern Governors forum , Abians have had a good taste of real
dividends of democracy. All the previous government carried out the
business of State from Temperance government House while the new
Government House he started is almost near completion. He also built a
modern state secretariat for office complex unlike his predecessors who
made use of scattered rented building as offices which was siphoning the
state money. The roads, education, health care, spots etc, all got the
attention of the government space will not allow me to enumerate all.
In fact, he ended the reign of kidnappers and robbers thereby making
the state a safe haven for private investors from within and outside the
country. Ikpeazu as a PDP candidate will likely benefit from these
legacies of Ochendo.
The third determinant factor will be the position of the political
stake holders in the state. It is not in doubt that almost all the
political bigwigs in Abia State are members of the People Democratic
Party. Some of these bigwigs influence the voting pattern of the
electorate from their constituency because of their past achievements.
In Abia Central, we have the likes of Chief Onyema Ugochukwu, former
NDDC Chairman who presented a formidable opposition during 2007
election. Ngozi Okonjo Iweala, minister of Finance and co-ordinating
minister of the economy is also from the central. Some families are
benefiaries of the scholarship scheme of some of the bigwigs. Some got
employment through their assistance, widows are equally catered for.
Some built boreholes and other developmental projects.
The fourth index that could crown it all is the pedigree of the
candidates. For Dr. Alex Oti, he is relatively new in the politics of
Abia, nothing much is know about him accept that he is a retired banker.
His political platform APGA is unpopular in the state. His candidature
is still been contested for by another candidate. This crack will
certainly affect him negatively.
Dr. Okezie Ikpeazu is the only candidate that is sure of a hundred percent vote from a political zone, the Abia south.
He has held political positions in the past and impacted the life of
many citizens, built bridges across all strata. He is not a new entrant
into Abia political firmanent.
Mr. Martin Eze, a political analyst, wrote from Umuahia, Abia State.